Possible scenario
Supply Chain Bottlenecks
20% Chance
The production rush collides with longstanding shortages in rocket motors, energetics, castings, electronics and skilled labor. This scenario keeps stockpile concerns alive and shifts investor focus from demand to execution risk.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.4%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
Tickers
- NOC-1.4%
- LHX-1.0%
- GD+0.7%
- RTX-0.5%
- -0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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