Possible scenario
Measured Restocking Ramp
38% Chance
The most likely path is a steady but not dramatic production increase as the Pentagon converts urgency into larger missile lots and longer procurement commitments. Output improves for Patriot, SM-6, AMRAAM, GMLRS and related interceptors, but labor, motors and energetics remain limiting factors.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +1.0%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.2%
Tickers
- RTX+2.9%
- LMT+2.5%
- NOC+1.7%
- LHX+1.7%
- +1.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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