Possible scenario
ETF Bid Strengthens
20% Chance
Institutional demand proves stronger than the derivatives-driven selloff. ETF inflows and lower leverage create conditions for a quick recovery, with crypto equities outperforming the broader market.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.8%
- Technology +0.5%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.