Possible scenario
Defense AI Competition
20% Chance
OpenAI's move pushes rivals and defense primes to emphasize their own national-security AI credentials. Rather than a single winner, the Pentagon may divide work across OpenAI, Palantir, Anthropic, Anduril, Microsoft, and cloud providers to avoid vendor concentration.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.5%
- Industrials +0.3%
Tickers
- MSFT+0.6%
- PLTR+0.2%
- AMZN+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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