Possible scenario
Scaling Bottlenecks Emerge
25% Chance
AI clusters beyond 100,000 GPUs are technically difficult, and networking stability, optics availability, and power density could slow deployment. In this scenario, the headline remains strategically positive but the market focuses on execution risk and capex efficiency.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.5%
Tickers
- META-2.3%
- NVDA-1.9%
- ANET+0.5%
- COHR+0.5%
- LITE+0.4%
- +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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