Possible scenario
Race Tightens
30% Chance
Hilton successfully reframes the headline as part of a broader authenticity and immigration-policy attack. Becerra’s lead narrows materially, though he still retains structural advantages in California’s electorate.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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