Possible scenario
Federal Law Revision
27% Chance
The disclosure reinforces pressure on the federal government to repair legal uncertainty created after the Federal Constitutional Court voided parts of the 2017 child-marriage law in 2023. Berlin moves toward a targeted amendment that preserves the ban while adding clearer maintenance, inheritance, and hardship protections.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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