Possible scenario
False Alarm Resolved
50% Chance
Israeli authorities determine the Delta threat was not credible and keep Ben Gurion Airport operating with only brief disruption. This is the most likely path because the headline says the flight was cleared, implying no device was found and no immediate operational shutdown followed.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Tickers
- DAL+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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