Possible scenario
Commercial Breakout Holds
35% Chance
DeepSeek converts its $1 billion revenue run-rate and new financing into enterprise adoption, especially in China, Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and state-linked sectors. The sensitive-data probe remains manageable and does not stop customers from adopting lower-cost Chinese AI models.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.5%
- Technology +0.5%
- Telecommunications +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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