Possible scenario
Track Shifts East
20% Chance
The remnants track farther east or weaken more quickly, keeping the worst rain away from Washington and New York. Regional disruption is lighter than forecast, and financial-market effects are mostly a small relief trade in exposed sectors.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.2%
- Utilities +0.1%
Tickers
- JBLU+0.3%
- +0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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