Possible scenario
Orderly Tax Return
28% Chance
If crude prices and retail gasoline prices normalize, Alberta is likely to bring the tax back without a major political backlash. The province would frame the reinstatement as consistent with its earlier promise that relief was temporary.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.2%
- Consumer Services -0.1%
- Energy -0.1%
Tickers
- CTC-0.2%
- ATD-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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