Possible scenario
Backlash And Litigation
30% Chance
Democratic-led states, immigrant-rights groups and housing economists challenge the administration’s use of rent data to justify deportations. The story shifts from housing affordability to legal authority, civil-rights risk and the credibility of DHS analysis.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.1%
Tickers
- GEO-1.8%
- CXW-1.6%
- +0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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