Possible scenario
DOJ Theory Advances
35% Chance
Federal prosecutors press the view that deposits into crypto mixers can be treated as participation in a money-laundering conspiracy when the service is designed to obscure flows. The approach gains early procedural traction despite the 2024 sanctions ruling and the Treasury withdrawal of reporting rules.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.4%
- Technology -0.3%
Tickers
- COIN-2.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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