Possible scenario
Russia Contains Leak
25% Chance
Russian health authorities contain the suspected hospital-linked exposure in Siberia and report no sustained human-to-human transmission. Central Asian governments keep heightened monitoring in place briefly before easing the most visible restrictions.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.2%
- Healthcare +0.2%
- Consumer Services +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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