Possible scenario
Federal Scrutiny Returns
18% Chance
New document releases or political pressure lead to renewed federal review of how the FBI and Justice Department handled Martin Kao’s cooperation. A full criminal reopening remains less likely than procedural review, but it would sharply intensify the story.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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