Possible scenario
Expansion Continues Unchecked
25% Chance
Kalshi could continue benefiting from its court victory and from the absence of immediate CFTC intervention. In this path, the longshot share is treated as a market-design issue rather than a legal disqualifier, allowing volume and broker distribution to keep expanding.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.4%
- Consumer Services -0.1%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- DKNG-1.2%
- FLUT-1.0%
- IBKR+0.5%
- +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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