Possible scenario
Protocol fragmentation persists
24% Chance
AI payments grow, but merchants and developers face competing protocols from card networks, wallets, AI platforms, and payment processors. Stripe benefits from its distribution, but the market does not converge quickly on one technical or liability model.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.6%
- Finance +0.3%
Tickers
- V+0.6%
- MA+0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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