Possible scenario
Fee Takes Effect
22% Chance
DHS finalizes the fee and begins enforcement before courts fully resolve the issue. Employers with large international graduate hiring pipelines cut offers, shift roles overseas, or reserve OPT sponsorship for only the highest-value positions.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.7%
- Business Services -1.4%
- Healthcare -0.4%
- Industrials -0.3%
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Tickers
- CTSH-3.1%
- -1.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.9%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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