Possible scenario
Stay Reinstated
24% Chance
Plaintiffs or the Justice Department succeed in partially reversing the 6th Circuit’s practical effect before the rule can fully take hold. Courts may focus on the National Voter Registration Act, federal-form voters, or the timing of rule changes close to an election.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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