Possible scenario
Ohio Rule Stands
42% Chance
The most likely path is that the 6th Circuit ruling remains operative through the next election-administration deadlines. Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose and county boards would implement proof-of-citizenship requirements while plaintiffs continue merits litigation.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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