Possible scenario
Surge Becomes Routine
45% Chance
ICE treats the Louisiana operation as proof that the new detention-and-removal network can move large numbers quickly. The Department of Homeland Security increases flight rotations from the Louisiana hub while expanding use of third-country removal agreements announced in September.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.5%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals -0.2%
- Industrials +0.2%
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Tickers
- GEO+2.3%
- CXW+1.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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