Possible scenario
Misuse Is Confirmed
20% Chance
A less likely but more damaging scenario is that security researchers find the compromised keys were used before browsers blocked them. Confirmed misuse would intensify reputational damage and force urgent incident response by banks, government sites, and authentication providers.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.0%
- Finance -0.5%
- Business Services -0.5%
- Telecommunications -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.