Possible scenario
Kansas Race Tightens
20% Chance
The story reinforces Democratic arguments that Kansas is newly competitive, especially after Senate Majority PAC's $5 million buy. If fresh polling narrows, national groups may treat the race as more relevant to Senate control.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.