Possible scenario
Paxton Stabilizes Base
28% Chance
Paxton regains ground by nationalizing the race around party loyalty, immigration, and Trump rather than the Iran war. Republican donors and conservative media argue that high gasoline prices are a wartime burden rather than Paxton's fault.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.2%
Tickers
- XOM+0.3%
- CVX+0.3%
- +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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