Possible scenario
Captive Power Pivot
20% Chance
Rather than becoming a broad merchant-power developer, Tesla and SpaceX prioritize captive power for factories, launch sites, charging, satellite operations, and AI computing. This improves strategic control but limits the near-term benefit for the wider utility sector.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.3%
- Industrials +0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.2%
- Utilities +0.1%
Tickers
- SPCX+1.3%
- TSLA+0.8%
- +0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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