Prisoner Swap Progress
+0.3%
The most likely path is a confidence-building humanitarian deal while core disputes over territory, NATO alignment, and security guarantees remain unresolved. Kyiv and Moscow can both present a large prisoner exchange as a domestic win without conceding on sovereignty or military objectives.
What it moves
- Energy−0.4%
- Consumer Cyclicals+0.2%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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