Possible scenario
Dip Buying Emerges
28% Chance
Investors step in after the initial 1% Nasdaq drop, arguing that much of the inflation and Fed risk is already reflected in yields. Stabilization in Treasuries allows megacap technology shares to recover part of the intraday decline.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.5%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.6%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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