Possible scenario
Regulators Slow Rollout
26% Chance
The mileage surge draws closer scrutiny because Tesla’s prior Autopilot history remains a live regulatory concern. Expansion continues, but federal and city officials demand more reporting, geofencing evidence, and incident disclosures before Tesla can broaden service materially.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.6%
- Technology -0.3%
Tickers
- TSLA-5.9%
- LYFT+2.7%
- UBER+2.2%
- GOOG+0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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