Possible scenario
Sullivan Holds Seat
39% Chance
Dan Sullivan uses incumbency, Republican turnout, and Al Gross's endorsement to hold together enough moderates and conservatives. Peltola's cash advantage narrows the race but does not overcome Alaska's federal Republican lean.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.2%
- Industrials +0.1%
- Utilities -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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