Possible scenario
Peltola Narrowly Wins
43% Chance
Mary Peltola turns her record third-quarter fundraising into the field operation and advertising needed to defeat Senator Dan Sullivan. The polling tie, Sabato rating shift, and her proven crossover appeal make a narrow Democratic pickup the single most likely outcome, though Alaska remains highly competitive.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.2%
- Healthcare +0.1%
- Utilities +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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