Possible scenario
Contested Alaska Count
10% Chance
The race is close enough that absentee ballots, ballot curing, and ranked-choice tabulation become decisive. A delayed result is plausible because the candidates are tied in polling and both sides have resources to monitor or challenge the process.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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