Possible scenario
Rapid Containment
45% Chance
The Japan Meteorological Agency quickly frames the magnitude 9.9 reading as an automated-processing error rather than a seismic-data failure. Local governments and the Cabinet Office accept the correction, limiting the event to reputational damage and narrow operational fixes.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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