Possible scenario
Operational Audit Expands
25% Chance
The Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism orders a formal audit of JMA’s real-time earthquake-estimation systems. The event remains non-crisis, but procurement, vendor accountability, and alert-governance questions dominate follow-up coverage.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.1%
- Technology +0.1%
- Telecommunications +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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