Possible scenario
Operational Restrictions
20% Chance
The OCC penalty is paired with stricter supervisory conditions that slow onboarding in selected high-risk customer segments. This outcome would be more damaging because it affects growth, not only expenses.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.6%
Tickers
- AXP-7.5%
- COF-1.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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