Possible scenario
Government Reshuffle
15% Chance
Rama protects his premiership by sacrificing senior education officials and announcing a limited reform package. This offers a face-saving compromise for some protesters while allowing the Socialist Party to keep control of the political timetable.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.1%
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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