Possible scenario
Legal Scrutiny Builds
20% Chance
Regulators or state attorneys general examine whether fabricated polling data created deceptive commercial claims for media clients or political customers. This remains a narrow legal and reputational matter unless tied to campaign-finance violations or paid election communications.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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