Possible scenario
Congress Probes Rubio
20% Chance
Lawmakers use the inconsistency between speech-based bans and pro-debate rhetoric to demand records from the State Department. Oversight creates political costs but is unlikely to force an immediate statutory change before the 2026 elections.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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