Possible scenario
Labor Friction Returns
15% Chance
The 2.8% raise may be viewed by controllers as inadequate given overtime, fatigue and private-sector wage competition. While federal controllers cannot legally strike, renewed lobbying and morale problems could create uncertainty around staffing availability.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.4%
Tickers
- UAL-0.8%
- JBLU-0.7%
- DAL-0.3%
- AAL-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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