Possible scenario
Russia Cuts Deeper
20% Chance
Russian suppliers respond to India's shift by offering steeper discounts or more flexible payment terms. Indian refiners may test limited purchases, but US tariff risk caps the rebound in Russian volumes.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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