Possible scenario
Surprise Floor Push
15% Chance
A smaller but meaningful possibility is that Republican sponsors use year-end negotiations to force a Senate vote despite public doubts. Passage would require some Democratic support and likely a narrower bill than the version introduced on September 30.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.3%
- Technology +0.2%
Tickers
- COIN+3.6%
- +2.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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