Possible scenario
Fast Grid Recovery
45% Chance
Utilities in Florida and Alabama restore most service within 24-48 hours as winds subside and crews reach damaged distribution lines. Physical damage is significant but concentrated, keeping the event largely regional rather than a broad macro shock.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.3%
- Utilities +0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Tickers
- NEE+0.4%
- SO+0.3%
- +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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