Possible scenario
Losses Contained Quickly
38% Chance
Bitget isolates the compromised wallets, publishes wallet-level details, and uses corporate reserves or an insurance-style protection fund to make customers whole. This is the most likely path because large exchanges have strong incentives after FTX and Bybit to prevent withdrawal panic.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.2%
Tickers
- COIN+0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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