Possible scenario
Courts Narrow Ban
25% Chance
Civil-society groups, opposition parties and digital-rights lawyers challenge the measure on privacy, speech and proportionality grounds. The law remains politically popular, but implementation is slowed or narrowed by legal process.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.2%
- Consumer Services +0.2%
Tickers
- SNAP+0.5%
- META+0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.