Possible scenario
Orderly Consolidation
21% Chance
After the sharp rally, investors take profits while waiting for the next batch of earnings and economic data. The broader risk backdrop remains constructive, but the index gives back part of the move or trades sideways.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.4%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals +0.3%
- Industrials -0.2%
- Business Services -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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