Possible scenario
Fed Hold Supports
25% Chance
The rally remains supported by the market's view that the Federal Reserve is likely to stay on hold. Stable yields keep pressure off equity valuations and encourage investors to buy dips in software, health care, and dividend-paying industrials.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology +1.0%
- Healthcare +0.4%
- Finance +0.3%
- Industrials -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.6%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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