Possible scenario
Litigation Pressure Builds
28% Chance
The aborted interview gives plaintiffs a stronger public narrative that OpenAI is struggling to explain its safety decisions. Discovery, preservation fights, and additional claimant outreach become the main near-term risk.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.5%
Tickers
- MSFT-1.3%
- GOOG-0.2%
- META-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.