Possible scenario
Regulatory Friction Emerges
20% Chance
Korean regulators or exchange authorities slow the rollout while reviewing custody, shareholder rights, settlement finality, and offshore token issuance structures. The project remains viable, but timing and retail availability become less certain.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.6%
- Technology -0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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