Reform contains fallout

Nigel Farage and Reform UK move quickly to suspend or drop the candidates named by ITV, framing the episode as isolated misconduct rather than a party-wide problem. The party keeps most of its polling gains because its core supporters prioritize immigration policy and anti-establishment messaging over candidate-vetting failures.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.