Possible scenario
Compliance Exit Cascade
38% Chance
MEXC's exit becomes part of a wider compliance wave after the EU's October sanctions package and earlier U.K. enforcement actions. Offshore exchanges with European banking, licensing, or fiat-ramp exposure decide that Russian and Belarusian revenue is not worth the sanctions risk.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
- Technology -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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