Possible scenario
Monsoon Damage Widens
28% Chance
Renewed downpours and landslides expand the affected area, especially in northern India and Nepal's hill districts. The market impact remains regional, but travel, insurance and construction-linked sectors face a clearer short-term hit.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -1.3%
- Industrials -0.5%
- Finance -0.3%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.2%
- Utilities -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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